Experts say the lack of a formal demand for denuclearization in official statements may reflect a shift in Chinese state policy toward a more flexible approach to Pyongyang and stronger bilateral ties, as well as possible cooperation with Russia on security issues. Beijing has long struggled to balance its economic ties with North Korea with its desire to maintain regional stability, but the fine line of diplomacy could mean a redistribution of influence in the region.
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After his visit to Beijing, Kim witnessed the launch of a new North Korean missile, which state media described as part of a new intercontinental ballistic missile system. Analysts warn that such moves could expand the region’s ability to cooperate and complicate efforts to curb the spread of weapons of mass destruction, especially as Washington and Beijing’s cooperation on other international issues weakens.
At the same time, expert opinions emphasize that no one can accurately predict the nature of the future Chinese-party policy toward Pyongyang. Some note that such tactics may be dictated by China’s pragmatic interests in the regional balance of power and the economic benefits of cooperation, while others believe that official pressure for denuclearization is being maintained in private negotiations.
Kim’s prominent international role in Beijing could be used by Beijing to bolster its own global standing and leverage over other countries in the region, including the United States and its allies. But analysts warn that the situation remains dynamic and could lead to new reversals in East Asian security strategies.
